Forecasting Setup

Sep 14, 2006

If I have a database of 1000 records that are logged and counted as to which of these records are successful and unsuccessful sales,

can excel be programmed to give an accurate forecast of what will be the number/ percentage of successful sales records over the next 100, 50, 30 and 10 new record entry ranges, using the database history?, then which of the new records within each selected range are most likely to be successful sales using the database history?

If so, what components or data references are needed in a worksheet to meet these requirements to allow for creating an accurate forecasting application within excel?

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Seasonal Forecasting Trend

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I'm trying to figure out how to do seasonal forecasting based on volumes. I tried to use FORECAST but the numbers are not accurate.

I have actual data to work with to come up with my forecasting on a monthly basis. Our yearly calender is from Nov 08 to Oct 09.

Here's a sample of the data....

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Nov 21, 2011

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30-Apr-0931-May-0930-Jun-0931-Jul-098/31/20099/30/200910/31/200911/30/200912/31/20091/31/2010
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30-Apr-1131-May-1130-Jun-1131-Jul-1131-Aug-1130-Sep-1131-Oct-1130-Nov-1131-Dec-1131-Jan-1228-Feb-1230-Mar-12

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VB:
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Jan 15, 2010

Forecasting using historical seasonally effected data

I organize my thoughts in numbers so it will be easier to understand.

[1] Say I have this data from January 2009 to December 2009:

1-4-7-10-13-14-15-16-18-20-22-25

As you can see, the growth is not linear.

[2] So then, I start with this data point for Janaury 2010.

26-a-b-c-d-f-g-h-i-j-k-l

[3] I now want to forecast that data point for the rest of 2009...using the growth in [1]. SO i guess that's an easy task right? Take the percentage change from Jan 08 and Feb 08...and apply that to the 26...and so on. (am i correct here at least).

[4] But lets say we have a GOAL. So, this become a forecast/plan. In December 2010, i want to grow double the amount of that in December 09. So 25 x 2 = 50. Now, the "known" data is like this:

26-a-b-c-d-f-g-h-i-j-k-50

So how do i do this now?

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Jul 16, 2007

I have historical sales for each month from the last 3 years. I would like to set up a seasonality adjustment for forecasting. I know that it won't be perfect and some may even suggest using regression, but I'd rather not. I'd like to do the following:

In a control sheet, list the months in chronological order beginning in cell A1; January, A2, February; etc., etc. through December.

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Apr 11, 2007

how I would go about setting up a spreadsheet that will allow me to look at previous orders and forecast what I need to buy. He never got into trouble for ordering too much, but he did get caught on ordering too little. I am thinking something along the lines of the attached. However, if anyone is using something that looks or works better (or those who solve this little problem have done a better looking or working sheet) let me know.

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The copy of Excel i have is 2003 sp3

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Sheets.Select
For Each sh In Worksheets
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.CenterFooter = "&P of &N"
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1.All cells should be set to wrap text
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3.Top justify all rows below it for wrap text
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