Calculate Exponential Forecast

Jun 18, 2008

I have inherited a series of data relating to a change in a specification over a period of time and a number of cycles.

See attached.

There is already a chart which shows the data and has an exponential line.

I want to find the value of Cycles where the Average Flash exponential from the chart line is 0.131.

FYI this is to plot deterioration in a piece of tooling, 0.131 being the accepted warning level. If you feel there is a better statistical model to use for that application then I'm all ears!

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In column B

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B4 =exp(A4)

both are fine, however

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Same case for all larger numbers

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[URL]

For this example of the exponential function, it creates the curve in one particular direction. I was wondering how I would do it to have it curve in another direction, for example I was testing the same function, but going downwards, and also having the tail curve back up (by hump I mean to simulate a gaussian distribution with the tails) how would I do that. seems like I now have part 1 of 4 aspects of the curve. here's the attached file to show what I mean. I want to get the hump going up and then sort of reflected along the y-axis and then similar features if I were to reflect the curves on the x axis. is it possible with the functions in excel? Linest test.xlsx

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3.50% =3.50%*3.50%
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Here is an image to crudely illustrate what i mean [url]

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DOH
ITEM_CODE
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[Code] ............

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The detail is as follows:-

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